We’ll find out tomorrow whether Inside Out or Jurassic World ends up topping the July 4th holiday weekend frame. They are both going to do over/under $30 million for the frame and they will both drop around 45% from last weekend. The only reason rank matters is this: If Inside Out tops the box office in its third weekend, it will lose what would have been an easy record for the biggest-grossing movie ever to not top the box office over a given weekend. The current record holder is My Big Fat Greek Wedding at $242m, a number that Inside Out will flirt with tomorrow or Monday. Obviously I’m sure Walt Disney DIS -0.88% cares as much about this record as they did about whether Inside Out topped its debut weekend back in mid June. But as a student of this kind of weird box office trivia, I was looking forward to crowning a new victor early next week.
Regardless, Inside Out earned $12.5 million for Friday to top the day and bring its cume to a spectacular $228.56m domestic. That’s a terrific 20% drop from last Friday and sets the stage for an over/under $30m third weekend and a $240m cume. It’s still playing better than any Pixar movie save Toy Story 3. Assuming it can survive an onslaught of family fare over the next few weeks (Minions, Ant-Man, Pixels), it may-well make a run at surpassing the original $339m theatrical total of Finding Nemo, inflation and 3D bump notwithstanding. It won’t pass the $368m total of Despicable Me 2 barring a miracle, but the $322m total of Shrek the Third should be a viable goal.
Jurassic World earned $11.8 million (-21%) for Universal/Comcast CMCSA +0.00% Corp. despite already losing its IMAX screen to Terminator Genisys. The dino sequel has now earned $539m domestic, putting it above the $534.8m domestic total of The Dark Knight and making it the fourth-biggest grosser of all time, not adjusted for inflation and the 3D bump. The current third and fourth-biggest “weekend 4″ grosses are Spider-Man with $28.5m and Titanic with $28.7m, so where Jurassic World falls on that scale will depend on if it ends up closer to $28m or $29m on Sunday. The Avengers‘s $36m fourth weekend (over Memorial Day) ain’t gonna happen.Jurassic World will pass $550m tomorrow (in a record 24 days) and should top The Avengers‘s $623m domestic total by the end (and top Avengers: Age of Ultron‘s $1.372b worldwide by tomorrow or soon after), but it’s becoming clearer that James Cameron will likely remain unmolested at the top of the domestic box office charts.
Warner Bros./Time Warner Inc.’s Max earned $2.65 million on its second Friday, dropping 39% and bringing its cume to $21.399m. The heroic dog adventure should earn around $6.5m (-46%) for a $25.3m cume. That’s not spectacular, but we’re talking about a $20m piece of counterprogramming. Now if Max had been about a heroic cat, we might be having a different conversation, but alas to the road not taken. 20th Century Fox’s Spy earned another $1.95m on its fifth Friday, dropping just 9% despite losing 800 theaters. The terrific Melissa McCarthy/Rose Byrne action comedy should earn $4.8m for the frame (-40%) to bring its domestic cume to $97.1m. So yeah, it’s going to be the third straight Paul Feig/Melissa McCarthy movie to cross $100m domestic.
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